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Forecast for the industry's Eighties
As a guide to textile rental companies in the decade
ahead, Textile Rental asked members of the TRSA Executive Committee what
they thought the industry's prospects for The Eighties might be. These
textile rental leaders are well qualified to have a feel for the years
ahead because the group has been hard at work this fall preparing a
long-range plan for the association. The results of their efforts, made in
concert with TRSA staff, consultant Robert Swift, and the TRSA Board of
Directors, is published beginning on page 46. Here, however, are their
individual opinions answering the question, "What are our prospects
for The Eighties?"
WILLIAM GENEMATAS, TRSA president, Marathon Linen
Service, Detroit.
On
Oct. 24, President Carter created a commission for the "National
Agenda for the 80's," a group which could have eventually a hundred
members and a budget of $2 to $3 million annually. Its purpose is to make
recommendations for dealing with problems of the '80s, such as inflation,
energy, domestic issues, etc. This is a very formidable and ambitious
undertaking.
In this connection, I would like to suggest that each one of us tackle the
same formidable question. What does the next decade hold in store for our
industry? Population trends that shaped the '70s will be equally important
in the next decade.
Changes in families, in regional migrations, and in the age structure of
society — all will have major effects on business and life styles. There
have been a few predictions about what population changes will take place.
If we focus on just one prediction by Vincent Barabba in a speech made
recently to the American Council of Life Insurance Companies during a
meeting in Chicago, we can focus on certain probable changes. He said,
"In the next decade the U.S. population should grow by about 21
million. In the last ten years it has increased about 17 million to a
total, now, of 222 million people. Migration to the south and the west
will continue in the '80s. The fastest growing age group in the next ten
years will be that from 25 to 44 years old which should increase about 42
per cent. Finally, the group 65 and older will increase by another five
million."
This means that the increase to our population of about 10 per cent will
take place primarily in the age groups that have the greatest effect on
our economy. That is, the group from 25 to 44 years of age. This means
that the market for uniforms that had expanded very rapidly in the last
ten years will undoubtedly continue in the future and even perhaps at a
greater rate of growth.
The same applies to other areas of our service that have expanded rapidly,
namely, the linen rental business as concerned with food merchandising. Of
course, the growing amount of hospital and institutional business that is
developing within the textile rental service industry, both in Europe as
well as North America, will continue to grow. Our Japanese members, as
well as those in Australia, New Zealand, and other parts of the world, may
not have a similar picture.
As this point, it behooves me to confess that I am not very confident in
attempting to foretell or hazard a guess as to what will be happening. In
the absence of a similar research commission and a $2 or $3 million annual
budget, the most I can do is examine the facts as they exist today and
attempt to see in what direction they may suggest we are headed. If we
notice weaknesses, it is a good time to determine how we can correct the
weaknesses. It is also worthwhile to determine the worst that might happen
and have a fall-back position or alternate plan for the future.
In the United States, the various governmental regulatory bodies have
already established their firm grip on industry, including our own service
industry facilities. Clean water, clean air, safety, working regulations,
conservation of natural resources, increased social benefits, and
protection for society have already reduce( profits and regulated a goo
deal of our business.
PRODUCTIVITY A CLUE
Elsewhere in the world, our industry members may say socialism has
restricted the in creased productivity of workers and they may say that
they expect the trend to continue. If these facts don't change, they will
have a definite influence on the next ten years. For instance, in the
United States, we already have a condition in which cotton mills are
reducing the content of cotton in fabrics because of difficulties in
removing lint from the air in work areas.
This means a greater percentage of synthetics in garment apparel and other
items we rent and service. This, along with the rising cost and increased
shortage of oil, will cause steep material cost increases, which, in turn,
can mean changes in processing equipment or at the least, modification of
processing techniques. As it is now, many plants are confronted with two
different processing techniques. One process concerns all-cotton items and
the other concerns blended items. A third is shaping rather rapidly and
which concerns 100 per cent synthetic items.
The condition in Europe conducive to the development of new and highly
production machinery as the only logic. direction to go in order to in
crease productivity. An outcome is a tendency to discourage the formation
of small textile rental service companies.
In North America, conditions aren't quite the same. Companies have not been
buying as much new, productive equipment. This is partially true because
management techniques, along with the cooperation of unions and the use of
incentive plans, have been able t encourage increases in productivitvy.
New capital, by necessity has been earmarked for equipment needed to comply
with environmental protective regulations such as waste water treatment,
air pollution, and environmental safety factors. This means that machinery
manufacturers will have tremendous challenge to produce smaller and more
efficient equipment that won't be too expensive.
A common situation for every member of our industry concerns energy. This,
above all, will have the most effect on the future of our industry for the
next decade. The necessity to decrease the frequency of deliveries will
mean increased investment in inventories. In turn, the management and
control of these larger inventories will necessitate a greater
concentration and development of monitoring systems for proper usage and
return on investment.
Washing formulas will undoubtedly be geared to processing at lower average
temperatures, which will mean changes in chemical supplies. In some areas
of North America, electrical energy developed from coal may be more
economical than natural gas and oil. There may be a market for equipment
that uses electricity in certain areas.
The use of more synthetics or even 100 per cent synthetic items will mean
less energy needed in the finishing process; however, this will not be
enough. The next decade should see the development of new and more
efficient methods of drying and finishing.
It appears that older companies in the U.S. will be looking into capital
investments in newer and more efficient boilers, and/or thermal fluid
equipment. Greater attention should be spent on the insulation of
processing equipment.
Because of the need to restrict the use of motor vehicles, the structure of
a main plant and depots may have to be altered. Small, regional facilities
may begin to develop in contrast to large, central processing plants. This
trend is being advocated in some circles in the British textile service
industry and a few companies have already advocated this policy on this
side of the ocean.
Along these same lines, it may become unprofitable for restaurants, country
clubs, motels, and other concerns to operate on-premise laundries
the cost of energy may be an impelling reason for their discontinuance. This
could bring a substantial amount of business back to our industry.
Generally, what happens in one part of the world in the next ten years can
also happen in the rest of it. The trend for governments, along with
outside investors in many European countries, to invest in large laundry
facilities could happen in the United States and Canada. In turn, outside
of North America, companies in textile rental service may have not begun
to feel the effects of government regulations pertaining to protection of
the environment. Regulations pertaining to clean air, clean water and
environmental safety protection will cause drastic changes in textile
rental service companies elsewhere just as they now affect companies in
Canada and the United States.
By necessity, I must direct my closing remarks to members in the United
States. While everything said before must be recognized as an effort on my
part to probe and make us think of what might be happening everywhere,
what I want to say now has to do only with my own country.
WHERE'S NATIONAL PRIDE
We in the United States have the ability to bring cohesion and a national
consensus to focus on our problems. I believe that we must do so because
the next ten years may be perhaps our most dangerous. In the terms of a
newer generation, we must get our act together.
The first step is to regain some of the national pride we have allowed to
slip from us. In our desire and inclination to try and be all things to
all problems, we have undertaken tremendous responsibilities to protect
our environment and conserve our national resources. We have done so with
noble intent, but the by-product of hasty and over-regulation is hurting
our greatest economic asset, our free enterprise system.
Our government can not solve the problems that its own regulations have
created. All businesses can not solve these problems. It appears to me
that some of the regulations must be slackened and we must expect slower
progress in some of our altruistic efforts. In addition, we must reduce
our dependency on foreign oil or face a slow-down of economic growth.
We are very fortunate, in my opinion, because we do have oil and gas
reserves on this continent. It now seems apparent to me that government
policies have not permitted or stimulated the free economy to develop
these resources. Whether we attempt to utilize the vast reserves of coal
or whether we recognize the fact that we can still bring out of the ground
adequate supplies of gas and oil for the next decade we must put together
some energy policy.
All of us are traveling through space in the same vehicle with only so much
oil, gas, and coal on board. Even if we do have adequate supplies of these
items for the present, within the North American continent, we, along with
the other passengers, must practice conservation. My opinion is that we
should be using more natural fibers for making cloth — not more of the
materials we need for energy use.
We in the textile rental service industry in the United States can be
effective. We are large users of energy and therefore should assume some
responsibility in our current political environment to bring about a
definite energy policy. Unfortunately, our industry is and will continue
to be one of the first to be affected when gasoline, natural gas, and oil
become scarce.
There is no other single, more important problem that we should concentrate
on than this one. An old saying is probably true today. That is, correct
our problems at home and undoubtedly we will have corrected some of the
problems of our neighbors.
BERNARD GITLOW, Rentex Services Corp., Philadelphia.
The
industry today is on a plateau. However, by taking advantage of the fact
that we are a recycling industry, I think we can enjoy growth in the next
decade. Service industries are growing restaurants, hotels, and
entertainment among them and these are industries we serve.
I think the association can play an important role in regard to our
recycling strength, particularly government-wise.
I see no one area in which the potential is greater than others —
hotels/motels, hospitals, restaurant, garments — each has more for us in
the future.
As far as the association is concerned, I feel that members should back it
more strongly through participation, especially in the political arena.
Our grass-roots efforts should be realized on both local and national
levels.
TRSA must now spread its wings and cover all aspects of the industry,
representing every segment for its members.
RUSSELL GREAVER, Mission Linen Supply, Santa Barbara,
Calif.
The
Eighties is beginning with a belt-tightening year. We're going to have to
start the decade clearing up a lot of things we've taken for granted,
energy conservation being the most prominent.
Our businesses will be more capital-invested in the future and less labor
oriented.
The new fabrics are going to make on-premise laundries an easier alternative
for people so we must push hard the concept of a service industry. I think
service is our strong suit and that we should advertise more than ever
before to see that the public knows it.
LESLIE SPERO, United Service Co., Youngstown, Ohio.
It's
a time of great challenge and I see as our principal goal finding out how
to keep internal costs going down in the face of rampant inflation.
Without any deterioration of services or greater sales, we have taken a hard
look within our own company and done several things to achieve our goal.
I suppose the savings we re realizing are things that should have been going
on all the time, but in a period of general business expansion, habits and
routines are geared to ever-increasing sales with little policing of
waste.
We've found that four ten-hour days make a better work week for our routes,
and it's especially saving for long distance routes. We've reduced mileage
substantially which also conserves gasoline.
Also, we find we're making better use of vehicles — there's always an
extra truck, which helps in maintaining the fleet. The program has had
good acceptance and our unions have been cooperative.
Also, we have to be very sensitive about increasing our selling price — we
could soon price ourselves out of the market. It's got to be in the area
of cost reduction. Since the cost of money, is such a significant factor,
we're doing much closer monitoring of accounts. In fact, we've spent a lot
of money in order to beef up our controls. We now have a service charge
for unpaid bills. In this way we're not charging good customers for the
irresponsibility of bad ones.
We also add a surcharge for increased energy costs. These are more palatable
to customers than a price hike and we've had little resistance because
we're merely passing on energy costs.
I think TRSA's five-year plan is something that can be used as a model for
individual companies. Each operator should take a close look at it and
restructure it in terms of his own problems. It provides a good starting
point.
DON STRUMINGER, Mohenis Services, Petersburg, Va.
The prospects for our industry in The Eighties are excellent. I believe this
because our industry has become professional and we have learned the
ingredients of what it takes. I would define those ingredients as:
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approaching problem solving in a business-like manner; and
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giving top quality service to customers by giving them what the customer wants and not what we think they want.
And, I believe there's a definite need for our services.
One of the most important problems that it is essential to overcome is not
knowing costs. We must accurately determine our costs in order to price
our product properly in order to obtain a return on our investment that
justifies being in business.
JERRY TONNER, Superior Linen Supply, Valparaiso, Ind.
My thoughts about The Eighties are of high optimism. I have seen a much
higher degree of professionalism and quality in our industry over the past
eight years. I see The Eighties as an era of "specialization."
I judge this observation from my participation at the TRSA booth at the
annual National Restaurant Association show. When I first volunteered to
spend some time with the TRSA. staff at the NRA show I was quite concerned
what owners and managers of the restaurant industry were saying about our
industry. These comments were from all parts of the United
States. Believe me, they were not good.
I heard complaints about poor quality, poor delivery, poor relationships
with their textile rental supplier and they often made the remark, "I
can't get that from my supplier"
What they were saying is that the quality and professionalism which we
displayed at the NRA show was a hoax and no way could they dress their
tables the way we were showing at the TRSA booth in Chicago. After one day
working at the TRSA 1)00th I was ready to "hang it up.
It is hard to describe what happened in just eight years. I have
participated at the NRA show since 1971 and today it is a pleasure to work
the booth. The over-all bad complaints are almost nonexistent and no
longer do I feel uneasy in representing our industry to the restaurant
trade. Our industry did indeed come a long way in just eight years to
upgrade its image and quality with the restaurant industry. This came
about through specialization. We gave the restaurant people what they
wanted and in turn they gave us what we wanted.
Today our industry has regressed as to the number of pieces rented in almost
all of our market segments except the restaurant industry. It is estimated
that from 1972 to 1977 the number of tablecloths and napkins rented has
increased by 41 per cent, while the back of the house remained virtually
unchanged.
The restaurant industry is experiencing a 25 per cent actual growth and
during The Eighties the textile rental industry should grow along with
this trend. Specialization on the part of the textile rental supplier and
the ability of associate members to produce the goods has made this growth
possible
I believe our industry has come to grips with itself and recognizes the
merits of specialization. Specialization is what saved our dilemma with
the restaurant industry. It is my thinking that if the textile rental
industry and its associate members cooperate in giving the customers what
they want, we will see significant gains, not only in the restaurant
industry but in all other areas of the hospitality field, as well as the
hospital and industrial uniform market areas.
Being an optimist, I disregard the reports I hear that the average American
believes the past was better than the present and that the future will be
worse. I believe the past was great and the future will be greater still.
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